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东方明珠A股限制性股票激励计划点评:传媒国企改革正式打响

研究员 : 陶冶   日期: 2016-09-23   机构: 民生证券股份有限公司   阅读数: 0 收藏数:
分析与判断    公司激励方案激发员工积极性也确保未来业务运转高效率  &nbs...

分析与判断
   
公司激励方案激发员工积极性也确保未来业务运转高效率
   
公司激励方案将激发公司核心管理层和骨干员工积极性,确保公司今后在传统媒体和新媒体业务上保持高效率运转。(1)、东方明珠此次股权激励的对象为包括公司总裁、党委书记和副总裁等多名公司核心管理层和数名骨干技术员工。其中,核心技术员工占比超过84%,授予的的股票占比超过56%。(2)、限制性股票数量和价格:不超过1812万股股(占总股本的0.69%)授予价格为每股12.79元,折价率为50%。总授予成本为2.32亿元,锁定期为3年,分别为解锁期满的次日及该日的第一个、第二个周年日,解锁比例为33%、33%和34%。(3)、解锁条件:2018年、2019年和2020年的第一个、第二个和第三个解锁期分别较2015年度的营业收入复合增长率不低于10%、11%和12%,2018年、2019年和2020年度扣非每股收益不低于0.91元,1.01元和1.12元。同时,解锁条件在满足以上经济指标的基础上仍然要确保考核年度内未发生任何政治性、技术性和泄密等事故在内的社会效益指标。
   
开展“娱乐+”战略借助用户基础通过渠道带来新盈利增长点
   
公司未来定位是文化娱乐类企业,目标是利用优质内容通过渠道带动增值服务增长,之后为平台吸引更多用户。公司更新传统业务IPTV和东方购物实现用户导流,截至6月30日公司拥有IPTV用户达2600万户,增长近16%,估计到2016年底上海的IPTV电视以及手机用户将突破300万。再者公司与百事通合并后增强了公司优质IP的储备能力,未来公司主要在新媒体电视平台和游戏两个领域持续发力,预计今年全年在线主机游戏将达到100款,总注册用户达100万。未来公司还将继续强化影视制作业务的发展,打造公司原创IP研发体系,促使内容精品化、国际化和新媒体化。在B2B布局上,移动端的作用也即将凸显,目前移动端日活用户达312万,预计本年度将达到1000万。公司未来发展全国性业务的目标优势明显。
   
传媒国企改革正式拉开大幕
   
股权激励方案的披露向市场发出了积极信号,传媒国企改革正式拉开大幕,新旧媒体融合有望成为主旋律传统媒体在过去几年的发展当中积累了海量的用户数。2016年内,广电行业内的歌华有线通过实际控制人变更成为广电行业国企改革的先驱以及北京文化资产整合平台;湖南广电将旗下资产注入快乐购也于是国企改革在逐步落实。此时公司披露股权激励计划对整个传统传媒行业具有风向标的意义,预计将会提振整个包括新闻、出版和广电在内的所有国有媒体上市公司的积极性。
   
盈利预测与投资建议
   
首次给予“谨慎推荐”评级。预计公司16-18年EPS分别为0.99、0.85和0.91元,对应PE分别为26X、30X和28X。公司做为传统传媒改革的先锋者有望在新旧媒体融合中再次扮演领军者的角色,给予30-33倍PE,未来12个月合理价格区间为29.7-32.6元。
   
风险提示
   
1)广电有线国企改革进度低于预期。2)发生政治性、技术性和泄密等事故。

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